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Crude Crosswinds: Stocks Follow Oil Up, Then Down

Crude Crosswinds: Stocks Follow Oil Up, Then Down

By Joe Mazzola

(Monday market open)

Stocks start the first full week of May near record highs but retreated early as crude rose on media reports of confrontations between ships in the Persian Gulf. Crude came off highs and stocks took back some losses as the open approached and fresh news reports calmed investors. The wobbly start precedes a gauntlet of key data and earnings this week, notably Friday's April nonfarm payrolls report.

Before this morning's pressure, investors seemed to ignore oil and focus mainly on corporate results. With 63% of S&P 500 companies reporting through Friday, blended earnings growth—including companies reporting and estimates for the rest—is an outstanding 27.1%, FactSet said. This would be the highest in more than four years. About 81% of reporting companies have beaten earnings estimates. Much of the growth was fueled by tech, but other sectors also delivered, including discretionary, materials, and financials.

Fresh tech earnings start this afternoon as Palantir (PLTR) reports. Semiconductors come into play with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) late tomorrow and Arm Holdings (ARM) Wednesday. Wednesday also includes a visit to Walt Disney (DIS), and in all, 20% of S&P 500 companies report this week Indexes mainly climbed Friday, led by tech, but most sectors fell. "While uncertainty around Iran and the trajectory of oil prices persists, investors appear willing to overlook that potential risk," said Nathan Peterson, director of derivatives research and strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research (SCFR).

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